How will this end? The military situation in Ukraine and its political implications

This talk will look at the military situation unfolding in Ukraine — how the invasion has developed, and what we know now about both militaries — and examines its political implications for Ukraine, Russia, NATO countries, and globally.

Clausewitz famously remarked that war is the continuation of politics by other means. But he also noted that war is ‘the realm of uncertainty’ and ‘the realm of chance’, with unanticipated outcomes on the battlefield changing the political calculus.

Given this uncertainty, how might the war in Ukraine end, if indeed it does?